Israel is a Bargaining Chip

There’s suddenly mass hysteria manifesting as protests over a war that doesn’t actually exist – it is completely absurd.

This article is going to offer an alternate theory in contrast to the rhetoric of an impending conflict.

There is a large contingency of people in the Alt that think Israel wants to start World War 3.  They seem to be so obsessed with Israel that they have lost their sense of reason and are not looking at the situation in any objective way.  Geopolitics has now been boiled down to “how can we connect this to being the Jews fault?” without care for the fact that there are many groups at play in the complex world power-struggle.  This limits some on the so-called “right” to have such tunnel vision on Israel being the end to fit all narratives, instead of trying to understand the entire situation.
The people kvetching about the tomahawk missiles in Syria are reacting emotionally instead of first allowing enough time to pass to see what even comes of this. When the munitions touched dirt, no one could be sure of the effects, especially since most people are not privy to the sort of information that results in such decisions. Instead, the most neurotic have grabbed onto the perceived intent with no regard for the actual result.  The obsession with Jews is now so bad that it is causing debilitating, fatalist paranoia to redefine the meaning of “right wing.”  Even if a war is coming, going bat-shit crazy isn’t going to help anyone! These intricate fables people are weaving from their “trustworthy” news sources are as simplistic as they are biased, demonstrating more whimsy than intellectual rigor.

Among the people fitting the circumstances to a hypothetical is the circulating idea that Israel wants Syrian land.  Israel has been forced, by the US to give up huge amounts of land beginning with the 1980 forfeiture of the entire Saini peninsula, with the latest being Gaza strip under Obama.  Israel has such little land that is almost completely indefensible, making them more and more dependent on the US.  The idea of Israel surviving a World War between superpowers is laughable at best and the notion of them intentionally causing it would be the opposite of self-interest; self-interest being the one thing which Jews are constantly accused of seeking.

Instead of playing “where’s Schlomo?” let’s look at this from the opposite perspective. If Jews are such masterminds then why would they ever give up land to the point of being completely indefensible, while having the UN expand their enemies (through welfare) to paint Israel as “apartheid?” Is the plot just so they can go into a war they will never survive for not even as much land as they took repeatedly before having to give it up?

Let’s look at the political climate in the weeks leading up to the chemical attacks.  Trump was basically being painted as a Russian plant or puppet increasingly by both sides of the political aisle.  As absurd as this extrapolation was, the intent of it was to prevent any type of unity between Russia and Trump’s America because to do so would feed right into this trap.  Now let’s look at the political climate after Trump bullied a runway (PLEASE NO STEPPY) of our apparent lord and savior Assad (basically Christ to the Alt) while dining with the Chinese President – the left is spinning trying to figure out how they can avoid eating their recent words and still oppose Trump, Obama (who started the antagonisms of Russia via their proxy Syria) looks weak and incompetent for never taking decisive action, and Neocons are in a predicament that most are not fully realizing.

Trump managed (and I speculate maybe with Kushner’s contacts in both Russia and Israel) to turn the tables in a way that 1) doesn’t harm Russians, 2) doesn’t allow the “he is a Russian plant that they got elected” narrative to continue, 3) publicly saves face for both him and Putin by warning the Russians, and 4) gives Putin a bargaining chip as well to make the neocons fall in line: Israel.

Leading up to recent chemical attack and US retaliation, it’s important to understand the frame work between the US, Israel, Russia, Iran and Syria in 2017.  In early February, Israel became increasingly bothered by close Iranian military proximity on their Syrian border.  In response, the Russian Ambassador to Israel Alexander Shein stated, “On the whole, the role of Russia in Syria is accepted by our Israeli colleague with understanding.  The only reservation they have is for them it would be best if there were US-Russian cooperation in surmounting the Syrian crisis and fighting terrorism in the Middle east.”  Pressure was being placed on Israel, laying the foundation to use them as a bargaining chip to bring about better ties with the US, especially since Neocons are still so powerful in Congress and pander to their constituency on matters dealing with Israel.  The Russians basically said “if you don’t like Iran here that’s too bad, since the US won’t (or couldn’t at that time, Trump was still in a bind on dealing with Russians) work with us then we will continue to use Iran”.

On March 25th, it was reported that Netanyahu tried to appeal to the US and Russia about the threat of Iranian forces in Syria to their national security, and that they would have to carry out airstrikes when intelligence picked up threats close enough to their border (tying back into my earlier point that Israel is in a very compromising position because they can’t defend the majority of their land from strikes arranged in bordering countries, like a sitting duck).   “Netanyahu reiterated that the Israel Air Force will continue to execute missions in Syria to contain threats against the country, and said he made this clear to Russian President Vladimir Putin when the two leaders met in Moscow earlier this month.”  It is in Israel’s interest for the US and Russia to work together, the two super powers coming to mutually beneficial terms would help stabilize the region and placate antagonisms between Israel and Iran.  Ironically, these antagonisms didn’t exist until the US toppled the Iranian Shah in favor of a Saudi backed petro dollar – Israel and Iran used to be the best of allies.  Working with Russia’s expanding oil interests could move us away from sending so much money to destructive Wahabists (something Trump has mentioned in the past), as opposed to the current paradigm of trying to completely shut down Russia over their potential competition which requires increasing antagonism.  I digress, so back to topic…

March 27th, “According to the message, delivered via Russian mediators, attacks on Syrian military objects will be met with Scud missiles launched at Israeli military (IDF) bases.  If Israel attacks civilian infrastructure, Syrian missiles will be fired at Israel’s Haifa port and petrochemical plant.  The missiles will be launched without any prior notice, the statement said. The notice follows Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s March 20 statement that protecting its borders is the right and obligation of every nation.”  The funny thing is this tidbit of info was misrepresented in a tweet by “The Spectator Index” which stated: “BREAKING: Assad regime via Russian mediators says any future strikes by the US will result in Scud missile attacks on Israel”.  The retarded “right” took screen shots of the tweet and spread it around social media networks without looking any further into it’s credibility or context.  “WE FOUND HOW THIS RELATES TO THE JOOS LOOK NO FURTHER.”  (Side note: does the Alt want WW3 as long as it means Israel is hit?  Many were saying with this info that more missiles sent by the US would be a good thing to get Israel destroyed.  Sounds like all the fear of the Sampson option was a bit of projection of the Alt’s own motives towards Israel.)  If they tried looking for a source to the tweet, it’s easy to see that Assad’s threats weren’t in response to US missiles, but Israeli airstrikes before the chemical weapons were even used.

Israel’s indefensible size makes preemptive measures necessary, but puts them in very compromising positions with power struggles between way bigger fish.  Israel has been on increasingly good terms with Russia the past years, which is why this seems to be more about setting up future bargaining chips than anything else.  By gaining so much support with conservatives to try to survive as the left has given their land away, Israel is in a resulting position to be put under pressure as a proxy to US conservatives, similarly to the US funding rebels in Syria was really a proxy for antagonizing Russia over a potential threat to the petro dollar domination.

After the Trump response to Syria, in a joint statement Russia and Iran threatened that they will respond to further American military actions in Syria.  There was no direct mention of Israel, but it is inferred that they are more at risk by including Iran in combination with all escalations leading up to this in recent months and past years.  This has been a long poker game for show between US and Russian proxies to lead to a stale mate.

The irony is, Israel is probably in on this show as well or they would likely be very worried about war with Russia.  A week ago, Trump wasn’t going to be allowed to come to good terms with Russia from opposition on both sides of the aisle.  With one move and a little tension to get the public riled up, not only will Trump not be called a Russian plant and threatened with impeachment, he will look more competent and strong than the left who started all of this and be backed by the neocons on the right, dividing them from their anti-Russia alliance with the left.  This brilliant move made the impossible into the beneficial – those who were in opposition to forming better bonds with Russia and finding a solution in Syria will now want Russia and the US to make a deal.  This was the only way that the Syrian issue would be solved and the insane political whores across aisles in the White house would learn to get behind Trump.

Trump truly has mastered the art of the deal.

No one on the Alt seems to realize that Putin could have shot down those missiles – or if not all of the missiles, he could have substantially impeded the overall effectiveness of the barrage – and chose not to.  Why?  It was all a show.  That many missiles could have leveled a town, and instead they didn’t even put an airbase out of commission for very long.  The show they put on was far more for the masses and to create a scenario where they have to come to an agreement.  Putin is meeting with a US diplomat this coming week. He didn’t cancel.  There is no war coming, except in the minds of internet loons that are way too sure they can see everything in plain sight – they are more fooled by the mainstream media than the normies they think they are smarter than.

Instead of seeing this for what it is or could be, or even letting it play out before deciding, the alt “right” goes into hysterics lead by the nose of mainstream story lines like know-it-all children.  It is beyond embarrassing, it is weak, naive, and foolish.  No one stops to think: who else could benefit from Russia and US escalations? The so-called deep state? The Chinese who happened to be visiting at that exact time?  The UN? (Silly me I repeated myself thrice.)  No, no one else but Israel exists to the online paranoia cult; no one even stops to think that Israel would be completely obliterated in a world war.  How many people know the actual size of Israel now in its extremely diminished state? I bet none who are so obsessed with it look into that or how Israel became so small the last decades after repeatedly gaining land in battles, because anything that disrupts their all-or-nothing world vantage must be ignored…. The Alt has reached peak cognitive dissonance while claiming liberals are too emotional.

It is even more disgusting to see the retarded “right” freaking out about Ivanka.  Trump releasing a PR statement to give her some credit for the actions he is being praised for has far more to do with combating all the left’s criticism of her in the White House.  It also serves as another focus to take away any public suspicion that this might be a very beautifully and strategically mastered plan, by appealing to the emotions of certain demographics. Is the majority of the Alt so gullible that it thinks we are told the whole truth? When did it become antithetical to look for any strategy at play?  It’s equally funny and sad to see the alternative “right” following suit with leftists in response to a PR stunt meant to shut the left down.  That is how gullible and overly confident the mindless internet mob is.  They seem to be very democratic in actions even if not in theory.

Another aspect overlooked by many is that Trump’s Supreme Court pick was pushed through right away after this new assertion of dominance. (((Coincidence?)))  The Alt doesn’t seem to notice the shift in Washington DC following this show of force (which will only be more apparent once a deal is made with Putin, bringing stability to the mess created by Obama). All they can do is clamor about how Assad is a good guy.  Syria intervention was never about Assad, they were just a proxy for antagonizing Russia.  Geopolitics isn’t some ideal Mister Rogers world, it is a very cut throat game underneath all the mainstream shows the public is given and highly competitive narratives at play.  Assad will be alright as long as he listens to his overlords in Russia – this was never about him.  The ends of this are much bigger and more important than Assad or a perceived moral high ground – the playing field is not as easy to navigate as online simple politics promotes.

The UN has continuously reported over the past couple years that Assad employed chemical weapons.  This is the first time they’ve changed the narrative, which begs the question: if Trump had reacted a different way would the UN have kept consistent to their past narrative of demonizing Assad?  Maybe Trump knew something was coming and when trapped between two horrible options, he chose a third way out that no one was expecting. Or maybe he had been holding this plan to deal with the Obama caused Syria mess in reserve, waiting for the opportunity to put into action.  Either way, just imagine what would’ve happened had he not responded – impeachment could have started within the month; the groundwork having been laid by the prior Russian election-interference fiction.  The political elites probably thought he would have only one other option which would be to escalate things against Syria and Russia continuously – they expected him to fall in line or ruin himself running from it.

This scenario wasn’t just a way to thwart more Russian plant accusations or a show of power for its own sake, it was to ensure the political elites on both sides of the aisle would go from all energy towards escalations with Russia to instead wanting a deal with Russia, else risk political suicide themselves.  One week ago, would anyone have expected to see Neocons wanting to come to good terms with Russia while liberals simultaneously try to keep their asses from being crushed between two of their own stances?

The neocons for the most part won’t turn on Trump –especially those afraid of their constituency not re-electing him– either because Trump now dominates the support of mainstream conservative voters or out of fear for the bargaining chip Trump handed to Russia – Israel (which will be played up more in the future, and then look all the better on Trump for negotiations with Russia that were impossible before this stunt). Mainstream democrats will further disenfranchise their own consumer base if they try opposing the peace deals that Trump will bring about with Russia. Of course Democratic media might revert to a ‘Russia is anti gay’ or ‘anti women’s rights’ narrative but that’s working less and less as many of their (former) constituents realize this hypocrisy doesn’t apply to Islamists –not to mention how many liberals are more interested in their personal security than they are social issues (one of the reasons that Trump caught so many former Dem votes).

So this was a risky move, but not executing it would have left the possibility of further antagonism with Russia, with or without Trump at the helm. If he can pull this off without getting impeached for his action (which a Red congress that now has to think about reelection in their decisions and his new Supreme Court nominee will help mitigate when the left calls Trump’s actions anti-constitutional in their weird version of what that means) the high risks will yield a paradigm shift in US-Russian relations, the power dynamics of Washington, and who knows what else. As a successful businessman, I think President Trump can realize that the risks are worth the results, especially if the only other options were already deteriorating scenarios. He at least went from a “lose-lose” to a possibly huge win.

This is a theory of course, and all should be stoic as we observe the game unfold… but if in the next weeks or months Trump negotiates a deal with Russia that wouldn’t have seemed possible a week ago then it will be clear to see how we got here.  Until then try not to run around like a chicken with your head cut off over a war that only exists within your fear.  Usually people wait until there is a war to protest it, but I guess protesting imaginary wars is the new “Fashy.”

 

 

6 thoughts on “Israel is a Bargaining Chip”

  1. I agree with you that people on the alt-right go way too far when it comes to Israel. That being said, I was astonished how many Israeli politicians, ambassadors, etc. were calling for a regime change as soon as the attacks happened. Their behaviour leaves plenty of room for conspiracy theories tbh. Israel wouldn´t profit in the long run, so I don´t understand what their actual goal is.

    1. I haven’t followed all of the Israeli politicians responses to this so can you please link specifics on which ones you are talking about? Varying ones might have specific reasons but I’ll give a few generalizations (Israeli politics are complex so I’m sure different ones vary).

      All I have seen are some approvals of striking Syria. I think this can be explained by a couple things… 1) since the US controls all peace deals with them and Pallys they will back anything Trump does because they are going to want to be on best terms with him. When I say they I mean the fashy party that has remarkably kept power of the top places in gov, Likud.

      I also do know that they have no love for assad. They have been continuously mad about Assad brining their current enemies closer and closer to their borders making them less and less defensible since they have such a small and easily hit area to worry about. I don’t think they like or care for assad at all because of him allowing Iranians close (understandable though since Israel is a proxy to get at us just as Syria has been a proxy to get at Russia).

      It’s good to remember thT they are also democratic and deal with PR and how they look to their constituents for elections, who probably don’t like Assad placing Iranians so close. Like I said that is a strategic move on their end and objectively understandable, but populations you are appealing to as a politician aren’t resonable.

      Israel politicians are going to be focusing their responses on PR, so supporting Trump and appealing to the emotions of their people. I don’t think their public declarations are 1) going to reveal a hidden plan or 2) going to influence Trump.

      I do not think Trump did any of this impulsively or on a whim. He isn’t the type, too strategic. There has long been reports of chemical attacks, I think whatever strategy teams he has were already planning for this as a way to deal with the Syria stuff and Russia stuff for a long time.

      I also think all of what the White House leaks in general is done on purpose. He leaked that he is having drama between his son in law and bannon. Has he ever allowed for drama to play out before or does he just fire people? Same with saying his daughter convinced him of this.

      I do not think info leaked or public statements of politicians are ever close to reality and far more about PR and appeal to people or to throw off focus on what’s really going on more so than saying what’s going on.

      If higher up Israelis were in on this and wanted a deal with Russia in the future, they sure wouldn’t say it for many reasons. 1) their constituency isn’t there yet and would have to be made to think they are saving them from more conflict (the other side as well), and 2) it would not play up the tension to make people want a solution.

      The whole point of a big shit fest is so that it makes people want a deal that was impossible before. The more both sides talk about it the higher the stakes the more amazing it will be when they find a better way.

      Idk I could be wrong, but I just don’t think there is any conspiracy in those people hating each other or what is let out in public statements after the fact. I highly doubt Trump will want to replace Assad or even wants a conflict.

      It’s similar to how Russia is saying they will support Syria attacking Israel over Israel doing air strikes on Iranians in Syria… but I doubt they would. It’s a smoke and mirrors thing what is said compared to what is done. The third most common language in Israel is Russian and they have increasingly strong ties. Plus if Russia has oil dreams they would want to work with Israel and regain old ties in the ME because Israelis are very efficient and innovative with energy and much more. Russia isn’t in this because Assad is a nice dude, they’re in it for securing a new oil paradigm and it would be smart for us all to cut out the stupid gulf Arabs and do business… just getting there was always going to be tricky since tensions have built up on so many fronts for a couple decades.

      We will see this could play out a million ways and there are many who wouldn’t want that as well that could mess it up. All I do know is the last thing Israel wants is a world war because proxys get hit first.

      1. Thanks for your reply!

        Sorry, I don´t have any links. Just noticed that those most outspoken about Syrian regime change on my twitter were almost all Jews/Israelis/US Neocons. I´m not an Anti-Semite but this really got me thinking…

        While you´ve made some valid points, I don´t think that Trump is a master strategist. His muslim ban, for example, was amateurishly planned and administered. But I agree with you that “Ivanka´s feelings” had nothing to do with the final decision – Trump just pushed the narrative to media.

        Let´s wait and see

        1. Well I would say Jews vary and don’t have some set stance. Even within Israel there is a huge range of political stances. For example the Likud Party (which has maintained a monopoly of top government spots) were very pro Trump and the Zionist union part was very pro Clinton. It’s kinda like you will see a huge range of idk German American and German’s in Germany on tbeir poltical stances with cross over along the way.

          Nothing wrong with hating some Jews. I hate liberal American Jews and elitists… then again I hate other Europid liberals and elitists too. Neocons I consider liberal.

          Idk of his Muslim ban was meant to work as much as it was meant to 1) make Americans react against the political elietes, 2) polarize politics a bit more, and 3) show he is trying to follow through on promises. I think he will continue to try with that but in the meantime a lot of Americans are really pissed at liberal judges and politicians who are putting our lives in danger by allowing Muslims in.

          I agree though, trying for a strategy doesn’t mean it will happen in results.

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